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Play Fund Win manages 5 data types including leads. Helps you organize, track, and share your work in 1 place for teams and solo users.

DRAW FORMAT — PREDICTION CHALLENGE

Prediction challenges — supporters predict the finish, closest wins

Pick a finish window, split it into time slots, and let supporters buy the ones they believe in. Every slot is sold once, so the board itself is the reason to enter early — and the reason to keep checking back. The closest prediction without going over wins.

CharitiesSports clubsSchoolsCommunity groupsIndividual fundraisers

Chat with Robin See how it works →

5% of transactions£99 setup — free at launchUK fundraising ready

Robin

Your fundraising co-pilot · 30 seconds to a plan

Hi — I'm Robin. Tell me a bit about your cause and I'll suggest the right draw, ticket price and a realistic raise. Live in about 10 minutes.

One timed effort

A ride, run, swim, marathon or 24-hour challenge.

Every slot sold once

Exclusive time slots, held at checkout — no duplicates.

£2,020 on the first campaign

Friends of The Oaks — all 361 slots sold.

5% of transactions

£99 setup, free while the format is in launch.

How it works

Four steps to live

Set the window and the granularity

Pick the earliest and latest realistic finish, then how finely to split it. Predict the Ride ran 06:00:00 to 09:00:00 in 30-second steps — 361 slots on the board.

Price the entry tiers

Supporters donate a tiered amount and get a number of predictions for it. Predict the Ride sold £10 for two predictions and £20 for five.

Supporters claim exclusive slots

A slot is held at checkout and sold once, so two supporters can never buy the same time. As the board fills, the remaining slots become the reason to act.

Publish the finish time and pay out

The closest prediction without going over wins the prize. On Predict the Ride the winning prediction was 06:32:00 and that supporter took a £100 voucher; your share lands in your bank.

Friends of The Oaks

Featured host

Friends of The Oaks

Predict the Ride — Elgin to Dornoch, 14 August 2026

David cycled Elgin to Dornoch for Friends of The Oaks. Supporters donated £10 for two predictions or £20 for five and picked finish times between 06:00:00 and 09:00:00 in 30-second steps. All 361 slots sold, 80 supporters took part across 97 payments, and the winning prediction was 06:32:00.

£2,020 raised · 361 of 361 slots sold

Read the Predict the Ride case study

Real examples

Verified PFW hosts running this format

Verified

One-off event

Friends of The Oaks

Predict the Ride — David cycled Elgin to Dornoch on 14 August 2026. £2,020 raised and all 361 time slots sold.

Typical revenue

Predict the Ride — the first live campaign

Based on verified host data — your numbers will vary.

Total raised

£0

Friends of The Oaks, for a single Elgin to Dornoch cycle ride on 14 August 2026.

Paid transactions

0 payments

From 80 supporters, taken between 23 July and 18 August 2026.

Time slots sold

0 of 361

A 06:00:00 to 09:00:00 window at 30-second granularity — the whole board sold out.

Average donation

£0.82

Entry tiers were £10 for two predictions and £20 for five.

Who it's best for

Designed for these communities

Charities backing one person’s effort

A sponsored ride, run or swim normally means a donation page: supporters give once and hear nothing until it is over. A prediction challenge gives them something to do, and a reason to come back and check the board.

Clubs and schools with a set-piece event

Any timed effort works — a marathon, a triathlon, a 24-hour challenge, a sponsored swim. The format does not care what the effort is, only that it has a finish time you can publish.

Fundraisers who want more than a donation button

Across 97 payments, Predict the Ride averaged £20.82 — well above a typical one-off sponsorship gift, because supporters were buying a stake in the result rather than making a donation.

UK fundraising ready

Compliance notes

Specific defensible claims — no fluff.

18+ entry verification built in at checkout
GDPR-compliant supporter data handling
Stripe Connect payments with full audit trail
Trustee-ready reporting on every campaign
Each time slot is held at checkout and sold once, so two supporters can never buy the same prediction
The winner is decided against the published finish time — closest without going over
Free-entry route and published terms, so the challenge can run as a free prize draw where that is the right structure

PFW is not a Gambling Commission licensed operator — formats are configured to fit either a society lottery (where the host holds a licence or registration) or a free prize draw route. Robin will pick the right one for you.

What you'll need

Five things, ten minutes

A timed effort with a finish time you can publish — a ride, run, swim, marathon, triathlon or 24-hour challenge
A realistic finish window and how finely to split it (Predict the Ride used 06:00:00 to 09:00:00 in 30-second steps, which is 361 slots)
Entry tiers and a prize for the closest prediction (Predict the Ride sold £10 for two predictions and £20 for five, with a £100 voucher for the winner)
A bank account — connected via Stripe Connect (10 minutes)
About 10 minutes to chat with Robin and go live

FAQ

Common questions

How is this different from Forecast Frenzy?

Forecast Frenzy is a season-long prediction league — supporters forecast fixture results round after round and points build up on a live leaderboard. A prediction challenge is one timed effort: supporters predict a single finish time, every slot on the board is sold once, and the closest prediction without going over wins. Different mechanic, different commitment, and they run happily side by side.

What does it cost?

Setup is normally £99 and is free while the format is in launch. We take 5% of transactions, and nothing else.

What happens if two supporters want the same time?

They cannot have it. Each slot is held at checkout and sold once, so every prediction on the board belongs to exactly one supporter. That exclusivity is what makes the board fill — Predict the Ride sold all 361 of its slots.

What if nobody predicts the exact time?

Nobody usually does. The closest prediction without going over wins, judged against the published finish time. On Predict the Ride the winning prediction was 06:32:00.

Does it only work for cycling?

No — any timed effort works: a ride, a run, a swim, a marathon, a triathlon, a 24-hour challenge. All the format needs is a plausible finish window and a finish time you are willing to publish.

How many slots should we offer?

It follows from the window and the granularity you choose. Predict the Ride covered three hours in 30-second steps, which gave 361 slots. Fewer, coarser slots sell out sooner; more, finer slots give you a bigger board to fill.

Is this gambling?

It is set up with a free-entry route and published terms so it can run as a free prize draw. Robin will confirm the right structure for your event before you go live.

Couldn't find your answer? Chat with Robin — she'll help in under 2 minutes.

Chat with Robin